More musings on intelligence in the cosmos

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M83. Photo credit: ESO/IDA/Danish 1.5m/R. Gendler, S. Guisard, and C. Thöne
A short essay I included in the January Astronomy focused on the possibilities of civilizations in the cosmos. How many could there be among the 50,000 billion billion possible star systems we know must exist?

Your response has been remarkable. I’ve received more than 50 written pieces sent directly to me, aside from those that have rolled in to Liz Kruesi, who handles the magazine’s letters to the editor column. A few days ago, I shared some responses in this blog. I find the range of opinion on this topic fascinating. Here’s another sampling:

“I’m taking my final for my second astronomy class in 55 minutes, and instead of studying, I’m reading your magazine,” wrote Ricky in Illinois. Uh oh. I hope that final went well, Ricky. “We just used the Drake equation a few weeks ago in class. My results gave 5,360 technologically advanced civilizations in the Milky Way. I had the highest number in the class. I feel that 5 to 10 thousand advanced civilizations is a safe bet.”

By contrast, Leo Seguin argues, “Since the dawn of our Industrial Revolution, we have been growing the carbon footprint. It’s not very likely that any other planet has survived much longer than Earth. Life is out there. But civilized life? I don’t think any other planet would have supported it for very long.”

Similarly, Jon Parker says, “I’m a believer in the premise expressed by Ward and Brownlee in their book Rare Earth. Basic life should be common based on the fact that it emerged on Earth quickly after things settled down. However, intelligent life will be rare, if it exists at all, elsewhere. Dinosaurs existed for 150 million years and were not able to create an advanced civilization. It took 65 million years after the last mass extinction for our civilization to develop. There were many ‘accidents’ that led to intelligent humans.”

Jack Berninger, a biologist, reminds us, “The universe is bathing in an ocean containing the building blocks of life such as amino acids, sugars, formaldehydes, and water. The ingredients are there, ready to be put into the cooking pots of Earth-like planets. How many Earth-like planets exist? We know of one Sun (ours) with one planet (Earth) that supports intelligent life. So the logical number to start with is 50 billion billion as stated in your article. Start counting!”

I’ll continue to share more of the many responses with you in later blogs. For now, however, Flemming Abel has the last word. “Is there intelligent life on Earth?” he asks. “Yes, my cats!”

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  • After a life long interest in astronomy, science, aviation and space exploration. and in all that time having seen two extrarerrestrial vehicles, there is no room for doubt that in my mind that intelligent life exists elswhere in the universe. I say extraterrestrial vehicles rather than UFO's because that is what they were. Having done a bit of flying myself, you sort of know the why's and wherefore's how terrestrial technology keeps things in the air. These were something different, and using a technology, which if we had, it we would be using to. As if that was not enough in the way of proof for me, my 8 year daughter, to whom, once having asked me, "What's that dad?" (It was a DC3) I replied, "It's an old Dacota" everything flying, including the fast jets form a near by air base at the time, became an 'Old Dacota!' It was she that called me from the house and asked "What is it?" recognising that this was indeed something different and definately not an old Dacota. It was infact a classic Saucer shape with one exception, that being that the mid upper section was a series of panels. As the whole thing was a mat black ( no lights bells and whistles) you could only just make out that feature as, rather like when you brush a piece of velvet one way, then the other, there was a feint sheen you could just make out as they ticked round at about once a second.

    Scientists rightly keep a healthy scepticism about these things, and demand absolute proof, and for sure there are many false and bogus reports of sightings. I guess it takes such sightings in the plain light of day that are quite unambiguous, to make you a believer. Naturally one asks the question, "Why don't they contact us?" The answer to that is I believe, that if they are smart enough to travel interstellar distances, they are smart enough to figure out that apart from a few intellectual bright spots, this is still a violent, socially, politically and technologically backward planet. Not quite the sort you would want to invite home to meet mum and take tea with yet, and just the sort that would misuse and abuse your technology.

    As for how the do it, I think many scientists reject the idea of interstellar travel because of the paradigms created by their current knowledge of physics. I am in the camp that says that given our present state of knowledge, we don't know how to do it yet! I always like to sight the head of the German patent office in 1904, who on hearing of the Wright brothers first flight declared,"Everything that can be invented, has been invented!" "Yer right!" The fact of the matter is, that there are many new branches of science and technology, yet to be discovered. I just hope we have the social, political and moral maturity to use them properly.

  • If it was possible for the building locks of life to form intelligent life on earth, then one day we may be able to find life in another planet but what we may term intelligent on earth may look primitive when such life is found. If it takes billions of years to site such life, to our own day intelligence, it does nut exist.

More musings on intelligence in the cosmos