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Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.
Last post 09-30-2009 05:38 PM by SpeedFreek. 22 replies.
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  • 06-26-2009 10:17 PM

    Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    While perusing the August 2009 issue of Astronomy magazine, I came across a one page article who’s topic was on the edges of our universe. In it, was the idea that the limit of our observable universe is roughly to about 38 billion light years in radius from us. This is wrong.

    In the article the author mentions a galaxy named A1689-zD1, who’s light took 13 billion years to reach us. In other words, we can glimpse a galaxy as it was 13 billion years ago. Now, 13 billion years ago A1689... was only 3.35 billion light years away from us, however because of the expansion of the universe it now lies about 30 billion light years away. This is true.

    If it took 13 billion years for the light to now reach us, from a galaxy that was only 3.35 billion light years away from us in distance, that would mean that that light is extremely stretched. (red-shifted)

    If the universe is 13.7 billion years old, and now A1689... Is 30 billion light years away from us, if we subtract 3.35 billion light years from that distance and average out that galaxies speed of recession from us, how fast is that galaxy’s average speed of recession from us? The answer is almost twice the speed of light. 30 - 3.35 = 26.65

    26.65/13.7 = 1.945

    How can we observe something that’s average speed is almost twice the speed of light? And as an object gets farther and farther away from us their speed of recession increases due to the expansion of the universe. In other words A1689... Is really traveling at more than twice the speed of light from us, now. How can they say then, that our observable universe is roughly 30 to 38 billion light years in distance? It’s not.

    Looking out in distance is also looking back in time, and we can only see so far back into time. About 13 billion years or so.

    It’s like taking a photo of a bird in flight. And then six months from that time, you pull out the photo show it to a friend, and say. “That bird is now thousands of mile away, and so because of this photo, I can now see over a thousand miles in the direction that that bird flew in.”

    The Hubble Ultra Deep Field shows lots of little baby galaxies. These galaxies are now well over 20 billion light years away. Do you think they stayed little baby galaxies? They never merged, or collided, shrank in numbers, and grew in size? Is the photo of A1689... From 13 billion years ago still a current photo? Because that galaxy (which has certainly changed in over 13 billion years time) is now 30 billion light years away, is it justifiable to say that we can now observe things 30 billion light years away? Can we see objects that are receding from us at twice the speed of light or greater? The answer is no.

    While distances can be confusing, we can only see as far back in time as about 13 billion years ago. That severely limits our observational horizons. We cannot see those ancient distant objects where they reside today, and their light will now never reach us. Our observable universe is limited by time, and speed of recession, and nothing is going to change that.

    The author then said something about the “great attractor” being beyond our visible universe. He says “many astronomers think this…” As far as the “great attractor” is concerned, it is not located outside of our observable universe, especially if you are saying that the horizon to our observable universe is at least 30 billion light years away. In fact it lies much closer than even 13 billion light years away. It is thought to be in the region of the Shapely Supercluster. All less than even a billion light years away. I can’t help but wonder, just how “many astronomers” think it’s beyond our visible universe?

    I am also beginning to wonder if the writer of these articles is really doing his own writing.

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  • 06-27-2009 07:23 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

     From Expanding Confusion: common misconceptions of cosmological horizons and the superluminal expansion of the universe: (link)

    "We show that we can observe galaxies that have, and always have had, recession velocities greater than the speed of light. We explain why this does not violate special relativity and we link these concepts to observational tests."

    The authors also wrote a less technical article based on the above paper, it is available in PDF form from the authors website: Misconceptions about the Big Bang

    Basically, the scale factor of the universe was increasing very fast during its early stages. When the light from those high redshift galaxies in the Hubble Ultra Deep Field was emitted, nearly 13 billion years ago, they were only around 3.5 billion light-years away, but the region of space they were in was receding from this region of space at a rate faster than light. From our point of view, those photons were receding from us too and continued to recede for a long time.

    But the rate of expansion was slowing, and eventually those photons found themselves in regions of space that were receding from here at a rate slower than light. Those photons crossed into our Hubble Sphere (which is the distance where an object that is moving with the expansion of the universe recedes at the speed of light) a little over 9 billion years ago, by which time they were passing galaxies that were 5.7 billion light years away from us!

    Essentially, all the light we receive today, that has been travelling for more than 9 billion years, was emitted from regions that were had apparent recession speeds in excess of c, and this includes the Cosmic Microwave Background Radiation, which was emitted at an original distance of around 40 million light-years away, but took 13.7 billion years to reach us. Whatever is in a region of space where the CMBR we detect today was originally emitted from, if it has receded with the expansion of the universe, would today be something around 46 billion light years away.

    The term "observable universe" is defined by the light we can see, as you say. There are many ways to measure it, depending on what you want to know. If you want to where things were when they emitted the light we see, you get one answer, known as the angular diameter distance. If you want to know an approximation of where everything is "now", you get another answer, known as the comoving radial distance. If you want to know how long ago the light was emitted, you get yet another answer, known as the light-travel or lookback time.

    Have a look at this page from the atlas of the universe:

    The Distance Scale of the Universe. (note: this page uses slight old figures that are now considered a little high)

     

     

  • 06-27-2009 08:56 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    I have no quarrel with the superluminal speeds of the universe, nor with how long it took for the light to reach us. While it’s true that you can ask different questions and get different answers for each question, some times the answers given or the things stated, are just plain wrong.

    True - We can glimpse a galaxy from 13 billion years into the past.

    True - That galaxy is now 30 billion light years away in true time.

    False - So we can now see 30 to 38 billion light years away, and that is our observable universe.  i.e. If I show you a stone, and then I throw it into some bushes and trees, would you say that it is still observable? 

    True - We cannot see that galaxy as it is today, and we will never be able to see it, as it is now receding from us at over twice the speed of light. It is not observable.

    True - Our observable universe can only go back as far as when the universe began. Only about 13+ billion years ago. Let’s stick to what "observable" truly means.

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  • 06-27-2009 10:17 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

     Quite correct. So how large is the observable universe? If we take the angular diameter distance, which seems to be your favored choice, then the universe has an observed radius of 5.7 billion light-years. The objects we have observed as having the largest angular diameter distances are those that were at the edge of our Hubble Sphere, 9.1 billion years ago. All older light, that has been travelling for longer than 9.1 billion years, was emitted at an original distance of less than 5.7 billion light-years.

    So, your observable universe, where everything is where it was when it emitted the light we now see, has a radius of 5.7 billion light years, which equates to light-travel time of 9.1 billion years and a redshift of around z=1.4. We have seen far more "distant" (in time) objects, with redshifts of up to z=7 or so, but they were nearer to us when they emitted their light, only around 3.5 billion light-years away as the universe was smaller at that time. The CMBR has a redshift of z=1089 and those CMBR photons we detect today were emitted a mere 40 million light-years away, 13.7 billion years ago.

    That's your observable universe, defined by what we observed, and where we think it was when the light we observe was emitted. The photons that have been travelling the longest were originally emitted the closest, and the photons emitted around 4.5 billion years after the Big Bang were the ones that were emitted at the highest distance.

  • 06-28-2009 01:24 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    SpeedFreek:
    So how large is the observable universe?

     

    The question “how large is our observable universe” is not answerable in terms of distance, but it is answerable in terms of "time". The further out in distance we look, the further back in time that we see. The furthest we can observe is roughly back to about 13 billion years ago.

    SpeedFreek:
    So, your observable universe, where everything is where it was when it emitted the light we now see

    No. It’s not an issue of where because everything has moved relative to when it’s light was first emitted. Of course the closest observations are the most up to date, but the further out we look the older the information, and the greater the movement. The issue is when it’s light was emitted.

    It is incorrect to say. “We have spotted a galaxy that is 13 billion light years away.”

    It is correct to say. “ We have spotted a galaxy that existed 13 billion years ago.”

    SpeedFreek:
    That's your observable universe, defined by what we observed, and where we think it was when the light we observe was emitted.

    Again it’s not, “where we think it was when the light we observed was emitted” but when we think the light we observed was emitted.

    The galaxy we observe from 13 billion years ago, is not observable in our present time, from where it is calculated to be now. Our observable universe goes to only about 13+ billion years into the past, and that is the farthest we can see.

     

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  • 06-28-2009 01:29 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Would you care to comment on the "great attractor"?

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  • 06-28-2009 07:41 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:
    The question “how large is our observable universe” is not answerable in terms of distance, but it is answerable in terms of "time". The further out in distance we look, the further back in time that we see. The furthest we can observe is roughly back to about 13 billion years ago.

    Sorry, but it is answerable in terms of distance, we have to use several different distance measures, one of which is the look-back distance in time. The look-back time is the most common measure used in the literature, followed by the co-moving radial distance which is based on a set of observers at rest in their local frame but moving with the Hubble flow.

    See the wiki page on the Observable Universe, which is actually very well written.

     

    Dusty_Matter:
    No. It’s not an issue of where because everything has moved relative to when it’s light was first emitted. Of course the closest observations are the most up to date, but the further out we look the older the information, and the greater the movement. The issue is when it’s light was emitted.

    It is incorrect to say. “We have spotted a galaxy that is 13 billion light years away.”

    It is correct to say. “ We have spotted a galaxy that existed 13 billion years ago.”

    The look-back time is the most useful, but what use is it on its own? We can see these galaxies, and the galaxies with the highest look-back times (z=7 or 13 billion years) were much closer to this region of space when their light was emitted than a galaxy at z=1.4 was (9.1 billion years). The z=1.4 galaxy had nearly twice the proper distance at the time of emission.

    How can we assign a coordinate in space-time if we only use time?

    Dusty_Matter:
    Again it’s not, “where we think it was when the light we observed was emitted” but when we think the light we observed was emitted.The galaxy we observe from 13 billion years ago, is not observable in our present time, from where it is calculated to be now. Our observable universe goes to only about 13+ billion years into the past, and that is the farthest we can see.
     

    Yes, again you are quite correct. But your universe has only a temporal dimension. What are we to do with the spacial dimensions? Ignore them completely? Surely you can see that we also have to include the spacial dimensions if we want to build a model with any meaning.

    Dusty_Matter:

    Would you care to comment on the "great attractor"?

     

    I would have to see the quote you are referring to.

  • 06-28-2009 07:57 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:
    True - We can glimpse a galaxy from 13 billion years into the past.

    True - That galaxy is now 30 billion light years away in true time.

    And here we have the essence of two distance measures, one "observed", and one inferred from what we have observed, but referred to as "true time"?

    When we say we have observed that the light is 13 billion years old, we are talking about the redshift, from which we infer the light travel time! The basis of this inference is that the universe is expanding, which causes the redshift. So in order to establish the lookback time from the redshift, we also generate the comoving distance at the same time, it falls out of the same equations.

    One is just as "real" as the other.

  • 06-28-2009 09:59 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    The question remains one of observation. If it is answerable in terms of distance, then please, you tell us how big our observable universe is. How far can we observe? Not how far are the objects now.  Can you give us a specific distance?

    The commoving radial distance is good for anything nearby but becomes more difficult with distance.  Again, can you give us a specific outer visual distance for our observable universe?

    I agree that you do need spatial dimensions to build a meaningful model, but that was not part of the question. How far can you actually see, not infer, is how I see the question, and how most people would ask it.

    Yes, the commoving distance does come out of look back times from the red shift, but can you actually observe them as they are now in our present time?

    13 billion years ago.  -  Time

    30 billion light years away -  Distance

    “One is just as “real” as the other.”     Yes, they are, but one is observable (can be seen) and the other is not.

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  • 06-28-2009 11:14 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:

    The question remains one of observation. If it is answerable in terms of distance, then please, you tell us how big our observable universe is. How far can we observe? Not how far are the objects now.  Can you give us a specific distance?

    Yes I can give you a specific distance, and I have done so already. We have seen out to a distance of 5.7 billion light-years, the Hubble distance as we see it. Not where it is thought to be "now" (around 14 billion light-years), but where it was "then".

    Dusty_Matter:
    The commoving radial distance is good for anything nearby but becomes more difficult with distance.  Again, can you give us a specific outer visual distance for our observable universe?

    Why do you say comoving radial distance is good for anything "nearby"? We see everything at the distance it was when the light was emitted. Why is it any better to say a nearby galaxy with a redshift of z=0.1, whose light was emitted only 1.28 billion years ago, was originally only 1.22 billion light-years away but is now 1.35 billion light-years away? How is that any more "real" than saying a z=7 galaxy was 3.5 billion light-years away but is now 28 billion light-years distant?

    Dusty_Matter:
    I agree that you do need spatial dimensions to build a meaningful model, but that was not part of the question. How far can you actually see, not infer, is how I see the question, and how most people would ask it.

    Dusty_Matter:
    Yes, the commoving distance does come out of look back times from the red shift, but can you actually observe them as they are now in our present time?

    No, of course we cannot see those galaxies where they are now. The maximum proper distance we have seen is 5.7 billion light-years, and what we see there are galaxies that were receding at the speed of light when they emitted the light we see. That light was emitted 9.1 billion years ago. That is the edge of our Hubble Sphere as we see it, and it is often referred to as the visible universe.

    Our observable universe, on the other hand, is defined by the Cosmic Microwave Background Radiation, its emission distance (the CMBR photons we currently detect were originally emitted only 42 million light-years away, in all directions), and the distance that the emission coordinates would have receded if they were comoving with the expansion of the universe (46.5 billion light-years), which is known as the particle horizon.

    What you are looking for, is the observed or visible universe, not the "observable" universe, which is a cosmological definition, based in general relativity. The observable universe considers the history of the space-time from which we have received information. It is only observable theoretically, using the mathematics of the Lambda-CDM concordance model. Unfortunately, a lot of mainstream media articles are not very good at explaining this properly.

  • 06-28-2009 02:06 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Please excuse me for missing this. So our visible universe, only goes out to a distance of 5.7 billion light years?

    What I meant was; Comoving distance is more accurate to our visual information at closer distances. For instance

    Nearby galaxy - distance now 1.35 Gly But when light was emitted 1.22 Gly. A discrepancy of .13 Gly

    Further galaxy - now at 28 Gly but when light was emitted 3.5Gly A discrepancy of 24.5Gly

    Which reading is more closely aligned to our visual information?

    The one that is closer. It has nothing to do with which is more “real”.

    The observable universe (according to wikipedia) consists of the galaxies and other matter that we can in principle observe from Earth in the present day, because the signals from those objects has had time to reach us…

    This contradicts your definition. The signals or light from the galaxies and other matter that is inferred to be 30+ billion light years away cannot be observed in the present day on Earth because their signals have not reached us, and they never will.

    This is the meaning of the term observable that most people are referring to, and this is the definition that I am referring to.

    The further away that we view an object, the older our visual information is, and the greater our discrepancy with a commoving radial distance reading. (What we see doesn’t match it’s actual location.)

    It comes down to not actually seeing it’s location in space, but actually it’s location in time.

    So if you want to stick to our visual distance as being 5.7 billion light years. So be it.

    If others want to say that our observable universe is 30+ billion light years in distance. They are misleading, and in my opinion wrong.

    Our observable universe goes to about 13+billion years into the past, and that’s how far we can see.

    Thank you for such a lively discussion though Speed Freek. It was very invigorating, and I did learn a few things. I hope others did too.

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    “You cannot choose what reality is. It is what it is” ---- Me.
  • 06-28-2009 03:27 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:
    The observable universe (according to wikipedia) consists of the galaxies and other matter that we can in principle observe from Earth in the present day, because the signals from those objects has had time to reach us…

    This contradicts your definition. The signals or light from the galaxies and other matter that is inferred to be 30+ billion light years away cannot be observed in the present day on Earth because their signals have not reached us, and they never will.

    This is the meaning of the term observable that most people are referring to, and this is the definition that I am referring to.

    The further away that we view an object, the older our visual information is, and the greater our discrepancy with a commoving radial distance reading. (What we see doesn’t match it’s actual location.)

    It comes down to not actually seeing it’s location in space, but actually it’s location in time.

    So if you want to stick to our visual distance as being 5.7 billion light years. So be it.

    If others want to say that our observable universe is 30+ billion light years in distance. They are misleading, and in my opinion wrong.

    Our observable universe goes to about 13+billion years into the past, and that’s how far we can see.

    Thank you for such a lively discussion though Speed Freek. It was very invigorating, and I did learn a few things. I hope others did too.

    It may be the definition that you are referring to, but it is not the definition used in science. You will notice that the wiki article also says "The age of the universe is about 13.7 billion years, but due to the expansion of space we are now observing objects that are now considerably farther away than a static 13.7 billion light-years distance. The edge of the observable universe is now located about 46.5 billion light-years away." In fact, the article does not contradict me at all.

    You do realise that we do not use redshift alone to work out the distance at emission? We also use a test for surface-brightness which is an indicator of angular diameter. The angular diameter (how big something looks, in the sky) tells us how close it was when the light was emitted, as you would expect.
  • 06-29-2009 02:21 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    SpeedFreek:
    No, of course we cannot see those galaxies where they are now.

     

    You and I both know that we cannot see objects that are 46 billion light years away. Looking at the fuller description that wiki gives for the observable universe then, I can only say that it’s definition conflicts with itself and it is in error then.

    A definition for observable is that you can see it, observe it, study it, or examine it.  I like that definition.

    SpeedFreek:
    It is only observable theoretically, using the mathematics of the Lambda-CDM concordance model. Unfortunately, a lot of mainstream media articles are not very good at explaining this properly.

    What does observable theoretically then mean? It means that you are pretending that you can see it? So for any mainstream articles, or articles period, that are making the statement that the observable universe is about 38 billion light years in distance, they need to include the statement: “We are only pretending to be able to observe that far. We can’t really do that.” That’s what should be included in those statements.

    I maintain that the time definition for how big is our observable universe is, is the most accurate statement for how large the observable universe is.

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  • 06-29-2009 12:25 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:
    I maintain that the time definition for how big is our observable universe is, is the most accurate statement for how large the observable universe is.

    So, you can understand how large it is by knowing how old it is? Our observable universe has a radius of 13.7 billion years then. But what does that actually mean, in terms of how big, or how large, it is?

    Nobody is saying we can see the edge of the observable universe as it is today. We can see the edge, as it was 13.7 billion years ago (the CMBR), and its redshift (derived using WMAP) tells us how much the universe has "stretched" since. The redshift tells how the scale of the universe has changed between the emission of that light and our detection of it. The CMBR has a redshift of z=1089, which means the universe is 1090 times larger "now" (1+z), than it was "then". The place where that light was emitted from is now 1090 times further away than it was. 42 million light-years has turned into 46 billion light-years.

    Earlier, I said that the observable universe can be defined as the history of the space-time from which we have received information. We have seen information from these regions of the universe, and the redshift/luminosity/surface brightness information tells us how long ago the light was emitted, where the light was emitted, and how much the universe has expanded since. All these measurements are on an equal footing as all are derived from the same information, using the same mathematics.

    If the universe were not expanding, putting more distance between the source and the eventual detector of light, there would be no cosmological redshift. By accepting that cosmological redshift tells us how long the light has been travelling, you are accepting that the universe has expanded during that journey, and that the emitter of that light is now further away than it was.

    Basically, cosmologists like to take what the astronomers have seen and analyse it using the best cosmological theory we have, to understand the evolution of the universe from what it was to begin with to what it is today, and it has been given the term "the observable universe" as it is based on the region of the universe to which we have been connected by photons.

  • 06-29-2009 07:27 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    SpeedFreek:
    So, you can understand how large it is by knowing how old it is?

     

    No. I have not been talking about it’s size, nor can that connection be made.

    SpeedFreek:
    Our observable universe has a radius of 13.7 billion years then. But what does that actually mean, in terms of how big, or how large, it is?

    You seem better adapt at answering that question. I was not making a comment on how big or large it is. That is a different topic. I was only commenting on what is observable.

    SpeedFreek:
    Nobody is saying we can see the edge of the observable universe as it is today.

    Then why say that we can see 30 to 40 billion light years away? If it is not true, then people shouldn’t be saying that.

    SpeedFreek:
    the observable universe can be defined as the history of the space-time from which we have received information.

    We have received information almost all of the way back to the big bang. Is this not true?

    SpeedFreek:
    By accepting that cosmological redshift tells us how long the light has been travelling, you are accepting that the universe has expanded during that journey, and that the emitter of that light is now further away than it was.

    Yes.

    SpeedFreek:

    Basically, cosmologists like to take what the astronomers have seen and analyse it using the best cosmological theory we have, to understand the evolution of the universe from what it was to begin with to what it is today, and it has been given the term "the observable universe" as it is based on the region of the universe to which we have been connected by photons.

    True. But when you speak of objects that are 30 billion light years away, you know that they are no longer connected to us by photons. Time and the expansion of the universe has ended our relationship with them. You can extrapolate their distance, but that is all. You have no idea how many collisions they may have had merging with other galaxies, how big they may be now, nor any of their existing traits today. The only information that you have on these distant galaxies is from 13 billion years ago. The only other piece of information you can give on them, is that they are long gone now, at 30+ billion light years away, and we have no way of knowing what they look like now. Therefore our observable universe goes back about 13+ billion years into the past. This is not a comment on it’s size or how far distant objects may be, but on only what we can truthfully observe. Everything else is speculation.

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  • 06-30-2009 07:22 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    I guess another way of looking at it would be akin to the event horizon of a Black Hole.

    It has been claimed that we have seen our own central galactic black hole swallow up a star that was once in orbit about it. Yet no one claims to be able to observe what happened to this star beyond the event horizon of our black hole, the point at which photons are no longer in contact with us.

    The expansion of our universe at great distances does in essence the same thing. We are cut off due to time, speed of recession, and distance, to objects that we are viewing as having existed 13 billion years ago. So why claim that they are observable to us today beyond this obvious barrier beyond which, we will never see them again?

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    “You cannot choose what reality is. It is what it is” ---- Me.
  • 06-30-2009 12:30 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:

    SpeedFreek:
    So, you can understand how large it is by knowing how old it is?

     

    No. I have not been talking about it’s size, nor can that connection be made.

    SpeedFreek:
    Our observable universe has a radius of 13.7 billion years then. But what does that actually mean, in terms of how big, or how large, it is?

    You seem better adapt at answering that question. I was not making a comment on how big or large it is. That is a different topic. I was only commenting on what is observable.

    Well I must have misunderstood you then, when you said:

    Dusty_Matter:
    I maintain that the time definition for how big is our observable universe is, is the most accurate statement for how large the observable universe is.

    What do you mean when you use time to define how big, or how large, the observable universe is?

     

     

    Dusty_Matter:

    SpeedFreek:
    Nobody is saying we can see the edge of the observable universe as it is today.

    Then why say that we can see 30 to 40 billion light years away? If it is not true, then people shouldn’t be saying that.

    Nobody is saying that we can see 30 to 40 billion light years away! What we say is that the most distant parts of the universe that we have seen are "now" up to 46 billion light-years away, but we are not saying we have seen across a distance of 46 billion light-years.

     

    Dusty_Matter:
    But when you speak of objects that are 30 billion light years away, you know that they are no longer connected to us by photons. Time and the expansion of the universe has ended our relationship with them. You can extrapolate their distance, but that is all. You have no idea how many collisions they may have had merging with other galaxies, how big they may be now, nor any of their existing traits today. The only information that you have on these distant galaxies is from 13 billion years ago. The only other piece of information you can give on them, is that they are long gone now, at 30+ billion light years away, and we have no way of knowing what they look like now. Therefore our observable universe goes back about 13+ billion years into the past. This is not a comment on it’s size or how far distant objects may be, but on only what we can truthfully observe. Everything else is speculation.

    The objects that are now 30 billion light-years away are connected to us by photons, emitted when those objects were only 3.5 billion light-years away. What has happened to those photons helps us understand what has happened to those objects. Of course, those objects likely do not exist in anything like the same form that they were when their light was emitted, but whatever has happened since, in that region of the universe, happened in a region of space that is now around 30 billion light-years away.

    How do you know that the observable universe is 13.7 billion years old? What do we observe that gives us that figure? How do you think we can "truthfully observe" the age of the universe?

    Any "speculation" about the current size of the observable universe is as valid as any "speculation" on the current age of the observable universe. We cannot see the passage of time, we can only infer it, in exactly the same way we infer the co-moving radial distance. This is why I am surprised you haven't focussed on the angular diameter distance, which is the one thing that can thought of as being "truthfully observed" in a far less abstract way than the other two. Whilst theoretical physics leads us to the derivation for the age or the comoving radius of the universe, empirical measurements tell us how far away a galaxy was when it emitted the light we see.. how large it actually looks tells us how far away it was, in the same way that you can estimate how far away a car, or a house is, based on its apparent size.

  • 06-30-2009 01:09 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:

    I guess another way of looking at it would be akin to the event horizon of a Black Hole.

    It has been claimed that we have seen our own central galactic black hole swallow up a star that was once in orbit about it. Yet no one claims to be able to observe what happened to this star beyond the event horizon of our black hole, the point at which photons are no longer in contact with us.

    The expansion of our universe at great distances does in essence the same thing. We are cut off due to time, speed of recession, and distance, to objects that we are viewing as having existed 13 billion years ago. So why claim that they are observable to us today beyond this obvious barrier beyond which, we will never see them again?

    Nobody claims they are observable to us today beyond that barrier, you have misunderstood the scientific meaning of the term "the observable universe", which I admit has a definition that is somewhat counter-intuitive. But as you look deeper into this subject, you find that all the distance measures are required to comprehend the evolution of the universe.

    Let me give you an example to show you why all three distance measures have to be considered.

    Lets look out into the universe and describe what we see at further and further "distances", using the three distance measures.

    Light-travel time.

    z=0.1 - a galaxy whose light is 1.2 billion years old.

    z=1.4 - a galaxy whose light is 9.1 billion years old.

    z=7 - a galaxy whose light is 13 billion years old

    z=1089 - the CMBR, which is 13.7 billion years old.

     

    Angular diameter distance.

    z=0.1 - a galaxy that was 1.2 billion light-years away

    z=1.4 - a galaxy that was 5.7 billion light-years away

    z=7 - a galaxy that was 3.5 billion light-years away

    z=1089 - a CMBR photon that was emitted 40 million light-years away.

     

    Comoving distance.

    z=0.1 - a galaxy that has receded to 1.35 billion light-years away.

    z=1.4 - a galaxy that has receded to 13.7 billion light-years away.

    z=7 - a galaxy that has receded to 29 billion light-years away.

    z=1089 - a CMBR photon whose emission point has receded to 46.5 billion light-years away.

     

    The angular diameter is what is actually seen. The dimmest, most redshifted galaxies look larger in the sky than brighter, less redshifted galaxies. It is only when the redshift drops below z=1.4 that galaxies look closer in distance as they get closer in time. Above that redshift, galaxies look closer in distance as they get further away in time! This is because they were closer to us, as the universe gets smaller and smaller, the further back in time we look.

    For a z=7 galaxy to look a lot closer than a z=1.4 galaxy makes no sense if you simply use the redshift as an indicator of the age of the universe without also considering where the z=7 galaxy must have receded to by the time its light finally passed that z=1.4 galaxy. When the z=7 galaxy emitted the light we see, the z=1.4 galaxy (or whatever was in that region of space at that time) was a lot closer to us than the z=7 galaxy. When the z=1.4 galaxy emitted the light we see, the z=7 galaxy (or whatever was in that region of space by then) must have been a lot further away than the z=1.4 galaxy.

    I know you argue that we shouldn't apply the term "observable" to the universe as we think it is today, but that term has been chosen. It differentiates the parts of the universe that we have seen from the parts we have never seen, and it accepts that all the parts are becoming more distant from each other.

    We have received light from a region of space that is now 46 billion light-years away, but that region was a lot closer when the light was emitted. For all we know the whole universe might only have a radius of 50 billion light-years (or it might even be infinite!), but we think the parts we have seen are currently not less than 46 billion light-years in radius.

  • 06-30-2009 11:31 PM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    SpeedFreek:
    What do you mean when you use time to define how big, or how large, the observable universe is?

     

    I meant that I was not giving it’s size in terms of light years or a physically measured radius, but it terms of how far back into the past we can see. We can see over 13+ billion years of our universe’ history, which is almost all of it in terms of it‘s age.

    SpeedFreek:
    How do you know that the observable universe is 13.7 billion years old?

    Because I’ve read about it, and gained a basic understanding on how that conclusion has been arrived at.

    SpeedFreek:
    What do we observe that gives us that figure? How do you think we can "truthfully observe" the age of the universe?

    Well, until I had just recently read Bob Berman’s article, and having learned some more from you, I had only assumed that it was the red-shift that explained this growth.

    SpeedFreek:
    Any "speculation" about the current size of the observable universe is as valid as any "speculation" on the current age of the observable universe. We cannot see the passage of time...

    I totally disagree with you there. The size of the universe is unknown. The age of the universe has now been pegged down pretty precisly from what I’ve heard and read.

    SpeedFreek:
    ... I am surprised you haven't focussed on the angular diameter distance...

    I didn’t even know about such a thing, until Bob’s article, and then from reading your posts.

    SpeedFreek:
    how large it actually looks tells us how far away it was, in the same way that you can estimate how far away a car, or a house is, based on its apparent size.

    I have only just learned about it, but I am grateful for the instruction. I have argued with many on the topic of the Big Bang and it’s consequential growth, but I only really had red-shift as an explanation of proof. I argued red-shift until I was blue-shifted in the face, but now with this new tool I am better armed for it’s defense. Thank you for teaching me about angular diameter distance.

    SpeedFreek

    "...you have misunderstood the scientific meaning of the term "the observable universe", which I admit has a definition that is somewhat counter-intuitive."

     

     

    I think it fools a lot of people. It really should be explained more thoroughly whenever those statements are made.

    SpeedFreek

    "But as you look deeper into this subject, you find that all the distance measures are required to comprehend the evolution of the universe."

     

    I totally agree with that, and thank you for the examples given.

    SpeedFreek

    "I know you argue that we shouldn't apply the term "observable" to the universe as we think it is today, but that term has been chosen. It differentiates the parts of the universe that we have seen from the parts we have never seen, and it accepts that all the parts are becoming more distant from each other.

    We have received light from a region of space that is now 46 billion light-years away, but that region was a lot closer when the light was emitted. For all we know the whole universe might only have a radius of 50 billion light-years (or it might even be infinite!), but we think the parts we have seen are currently not less than 46 billion light-years in radius."

     

     

    So what you’re saying in essence by saying that the universe might only have a radius of 50 billion light years, is that, what we’ve seen so far, might just about be all there is to our universe? If that is possibly the case, then what is there really for sure to differentiate from?

    There is stuff that we have seen, there is stuff that we can no longer see, and then there might be stuff that we have never seen? It doesn’t seem to me that the way they have chosen to use the word observable really differentiates anything concrete at all. It also seems to me that, whoever chose the to use the word “observable” in this fashion, really didn’t understand what he was doing in the first place.

    However as you say, “… that term has been chosen.” and I know that I cannot change that. I can only resolve myself not use that term in that manner, because I think it is wrong.

    Thank you speed for your time, patience, and knowledge. And about Bob Berman. His articles are the first ones I turn to in "Astronomy" magazine. I might disagree with some of the things he says, but sometimes his articles are more informative to me than the rest of the whole magazine. I respect him anyway. You should read his articles speed. Who knows, he might even teach you something some day.

    Signature
    “You cannot choose what reality is. It is what it is” ---- Me.
  • 07-01-2009 11:33 AM In reply to

    Re: Our observable universe is not 30 to 38 billion light years in distance.

    Dusty_Matter:

    SpeedFreek:
    Any "speculation" about the current size of the observable universe is as valid as any "speculation" on the current age of the observable universe. We cannot see the passage of time...

    I totally disagree with you there. The size of the universe is unknown. The age of the universe has now been pegged down pretty precisly from what I’ve heard and read.

    I said the size of the observable universe! (which has been pegged down just as much as the age of the universe, as it falls out of the same equations) 

     

    Dusty_Matter:

    So what you’re saying in essence by saying that the universe might only have a radius of 50 billion light years, is that, what we’ve seen so far, might just about be all there is to our universe? If that is possibly the case, then what is there really for sure to differentiate from?

    There is stuff that we have seen, there is stuff that we can no longer see, and then there might be stuff that we have never seen? It doesn’t seem to me that the way they have chosen to use the word observable really differentiates anything concrete at all. It also seems to me that, whoever chose the to use the word “observable” in this fashion, really didn’t understand what he was doing in the first place.

    However as you say, “… that term has been chosen.” and I know that I cannot change that. I can only resolve myself not use that term in that manner, because I think it is wrong.

     

    What I meant is that the observable universe seems to homogeneous and isotropic at the largest scales - we have no indication of there being any physical end to it, so we can assume the whole universe is larger than the observable universe, but we have no idea how much larger it might be. We assume there will be galaxies currently further than 46 billion light years away, outside of our observable universe, in regions of the universe from which we have never received a photon.
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